Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 25.273481 29.178572 33.396618 38.280144 43.766748 49.728657 56.685088
2025-02-02 20.312939 26.139809 33.019072 41.681630 52.234735 64.606230 80.133675
2025-02-09 16.232966 22.816094 31.162125 42.385231 56.929721 74.974541 98.864338
2025-02-16 13.210151 20.041918 29.247420 42.327496 60.163400 83.329641 115.331748
2025-02-23 10.886064 17.702678 27.404326 41.876440 62.502335 90.364462 130.261770
2025-03-02 9.147372 15.861643 25.908532 41.567612 64.779590 97.233876 145.179825
2025-03-09 7.763421 14.306011 24.566939 41.221711 66.811436 103.720183 159.789417
2025-03-16 6.213692 12.210090 22.088024 38.806334 65.449960 105.102077 167.040630
2025-03-23 5.634098 11.661266 21.988224 40.054489 69.680940 114.855089 186.945477
2025-03-30 5.213595 11.324119 22.180228 41.753686 74.690689 126.016093 209.497123
2025-04-06 4.459362 10.236011 20.930044 40.875746 75.416775 130.548629 222.112807
2025-04-13 3.686902 8.976504 19.203932 38.966290 74.220653 131.891662 229.729874
2025-04-20 3.510385 8.953283 19.840866 41.462515 80.921060 146.687957 260.067367
2025-04-27 3.457695 9.200576 21.046942 45.157272 90.057569 166.142869 299.178625
2025-05-04 3.102424 8.706881 20.719579 45.921222 94.033162 177.219877 325.185399
2025-05-11 2.720001 8.073132 20.014409 45.861292 96.471548 185.783715 347.411604
2025-05-18 2.357766 7.411926 19.153161 45.378319 98.042965 192.878252 367.442174
2025-05-25 2.057281 6.843919 18.412471 45.047427 99.843146 200.428735 388.572761
2025-06-01 1.795100 6.320391 17.695405 44.676721 101.507103 207.783894 409.668136
2025-06-08 1.444851 5.458733 16.046901 42.087200 98.511345 206.396564 415.131821
2025-06-15 1.345210 5.324162 16.155951 43.425533 103.595554 220.280204 448.680192
2025-06-22 1.276276 5.271729 16.465036 45.246856 109.798050 236.571017 487.301950
2025-06-29 1.095262 4.806931 15.633609 44.305906 110.081065 241.526854 505.221253